AI Buddy

Work with AI to frame your Bayesian reasoning problem

Hi! I'm your Bayesian reasoning buddy. 🎲

I'll help you frame your probability problem and calculate the posterior probability using Bayes' Theorem.

Tell me about your situation. For example:

  • "I got a positive medical test result..."
  • "I'm evaluating whether to invest in a startup..."
  • "I'm trying to decide if someone is telling the truth..."

What would you like to reason about?

How It Works

  1. 1. Describe your problem
  2. 2. AI helps identify your hypothesis
  3. 3. Estimate your prior belief
  4. 4. Describe the evidence
  5. 5. Estimate likelihoods
  6. 6. Get your posterior probability!